SORA Rate Impact Analysis — Q4 2026

Market Commentary 4 min read Last reviewed
TL;DR
Q4 2026 SORA rate impact. 3M SORA: 3.2500%. Mortgage scenarios, segment analysis, and refinancing guidance.
Key Takeaways
  • Q4 2026 SORA Analysis
  • 1M SORA: 3.1000%
  • 3M SORA: 3.2500%
  • 6M SORA: 3.3500%
Data as of July 2026

SORA Rate Summary — Q4 2026

The Singapore Overnight Rate Average (SORA) is the primary benchmark for floating-rate mortgages in Singapore, replacing the previous SOR and SIBOR benchmarks. See MAS SORA dashboard for live rates.

3.1000%
1-Month SORA
3.2500%
3-Month SORA
3.3500%
6-Month SORA

Mortgage Payment Scenarios

Monthly mortgage payments at different loan amounts under current 3M SORA (3.2500%) + 0.75% bank spread = 4.00% effective rate. All scenarios assume 25-year tenure.

Mortgage payment scenarios — Q4 2026
Loan AmountCurrent RateMonthly Payment+0.25%+0.50%-0.25%
$500,0004.00%$2,639$2,709 (+$70)$2,779 (+$140)$2,571 (-$69)
$1,000,0004.00%$5,278$5,417 (+$139)$5,558 (+$280)$5,141 (-$137)
$1,500,0004.00%$7,918$8,126 (+$209)$8,337 (+$420)$7,712 (-$206)
$2,000,0004.00%$10,557$10,835 (+$278)$11,117 (+$560)$10,283 (-$274)

Key Insight

💡
Key Insight
Rate data for this quarter is still being collected. Check back for updated analysis as SORA rates are published.

Impact by Market Segment

Different market segments carry different average loan sizes, making SORA movements affect buyers unevenly.

SORA impact by market segment — Q4 2026
SegmentTypical LoanMonthly PaymentImpact of +0.25%Avg PSFVolume
Core Central Region (CCR)$2,000,000$10,557+$278/mo----
Rest of Central Region (RCR)$1,500,000$7,918+$209/mo----
Outside Central Region (OCR)$1,000,000$5,278+$139/mo----
🧮Calculate Your Mortgage Payment

SORA Rate Trend

3-Month Compounded SORA over the last 8 quarters.

3-Month SORA historical trend
Period3M SORA
Q1 20263.2500%

Should You Refinance?

Rates remain near recent highs. Unless your current package is significantly above market rates, refinancing may not yield sufficient savings after factoring in legal costs and clawback penalties.

🧮Try our Refinancing Calculator

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current 3-Month SORA rate in Q4 2026?
The 3-Month Compounded SORA is 3.2500% as of Q4 2026. This is the most common benchmark for floating-rate mortgages in Singapore. See MAS SORA dashboard for live data.
How much does a 0.25% SORA increase affect my mortgage?
On a $1M loan over 25 years, a 0.25% rate increase adds approximately $139 to your monthly payment. The impact scales proportionally with loan size.
Should I choose a fixed or floating rate mortgage?
With rates stable or easing, floating-rate packages offer lower costs. However, consider your risk tolerance — if rates reverse upward, your payments increase. Use our mortgage calculator to compare scenarios.
When should I refinance my mortgage?
Consider refinancing when: (1) your lock-in period has expired, (2) the rate difference exceeds 0.2% after accounting for legal fees (~$2,500–$3,500), and (3) clawback penalties. Most banks require 3 months' notice. Current effective rate: 4.00%.
👍Helpful0💡Insightful0📅Outdated0

Methodology & Sources

Figures below are drawn from Q4 2026 SORA analysis and revised every quarter.

Transaction data sourced from URA.

  • SORA rates: MAS SORA dashboard.
  • Mortgage spread: typical bank spread of 0.75% above 3M Compounded SORA.
  • Transaction data: URA.

We report medians (not means) so a single outlier transaction cannot skew district-level figures. PSF = price per square foot.